FC Dordrecht vs Excelsior Predictions

• Dordrecht have only picked up 11 points in the league this season.
• Excelsior are aiming to bounce back to the Eredivisie at the first attempt and currently occupy one of the playoff places.
• Dordrecht have lost five of their last six matches in all competitions.
• Excelsior are unbeaten in their last four away games in the Eerste Divisie.

Dordrecht have looked just as poor at home as they have on the road

Excelsior beat Dordrecht 3-2 in the pairs’ reverse league fixture back in October and have won 12 of their last 29 matches against Friday’s hosts. Dordrecht sit rock bottom of the Eerste Divisie table on 11 points and boast the divisions’ worst goal difference of -26, while Excelsior’s goal difference is +5 and a win for the visitors on Friday could see them move into the top five.

The host head into Friday’s match having lost five of their last six games in league and cup while Excelsior have won three of their last four games in the Eerste Divisie and will be confident they can get off to a winning start in 2020. Over 2.5 goals have been produced in five of Dortdrecht’s last six matches and Excelsior have only managed to keep one clean sheet during that period which is why we have backed a final scoreline of 2-1.

Dordrecht have only won once at home in the league this season and are only marginally playing better at home than they are on the road, while Excelsior have secured three wins and four draws on the road. The hosts score an average of 1.40 goals per home game but concede an average of 2.40 goals which adds further weight to our prediction for a 2-1 away win on Friday. Excelsior only concede an average of 1.60 goals on the road and have so far performed better defensively away from home in the Eerste Divisie this season.

Excelsior look to extend their good run of form on the road

Half of Dordrecht’s home games have produced over 2.5 goals and the average amount of goals scored per home game is 3.80, which ties in well with our final scoreline prediction of 2-1. 70% of Excelsior’s away games have produced over 2.5 goals which is partly down to the visitors only keeping clean sheets in 30% of their away games, while the hosts have only kept clean sheets in 10% of their home games.

Both teams scored in 80% of Dordrecht’s home games and 50% of Excelsior’s away games so far this season, with the hosts only failing to score in 10% of their home games and exactly 3 goals being scored in 30% of Excelsiors away matches. Five of Dordrecht’s defeats have been by a 1-goal margin so far this season while four of Excelsior’s wins have been via the odd goal, adding further reason to back a narrow 2-1 win for the visitors on Friday.

Dordrecht only average 0.60 points per home game this season while Excelsior average 1.30 points oper away game which is above the league average of 1.07 points. Excelsior score more and concede less away from home than the league ave4rage in the Eerste Divisie which bodes well heading into Friday’s trip to Dordrecht.

We’re confident that Excelsior will win on Friday and we have predicted a final scoreline of 2-1. The visitors head into the game as the form favourites and have outperformed their hosts in all departments so far this season. Dordrecht are struggling at home and on the road this season while Excelsiors are averaging 2.05 goals per game and if they continue that trend on Friday then there is a godd chance they will return home with all three points.