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Inter Milan vs Lecce Predictions

  • 17:00
  • Expired
  • San Siro
Inter Milan
  • BT Sport 2

Inter Milan to Win and Under 3.5 Match Goals

Reason for tip

Inter Milan have won five of their last seven matches, but five of their last six have contained just one goal. The Nerazzurri have also conceded just six goals at home in Serie A this season, so a high-scoring affair looks unlikely against a Lecce side with the worst expected goals (xG) figures in the Italian top flight.

10/11odds when tipped

Inter Milan 2-0

Reason for tip

Inter have kept three consecutive clean sheets at home, winning each of those games. The Nerazzurri beat Lecce 2-1 away from home earlier this season, and their superior quality makes them clear favourites, but Lecce recently enjoyed a three-match unbeaten run and are capable of keeping things interesting.

5/1odds when tipped
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Inter Milan vs Lecce Predictions

  • Five of Inter Milan’s last six games have contained a maximum of one goal.
  • Lecce, meanwhile, have seen a maximum of three goals scored in each of their last six matches.
  • Inter have won three of their last six games to nil.
  • The Nerazzurri have won 10 of their 12 home league games this season, conceding just six goals.

Inconsistent Inter slip up

Every time one of Serie A’s traditional giants seem to be putting together a solid run to make a top-four spot their own this season, a slip up is just around the corner. Inter Milan saw a six-game unbeaten run halted by a 1-0 loss at an impressive Bologna outfit last time out, a result which underlined why Simone Inzaghi’s men are so far adrift of Napoli. Five of the last six games played by the Nerazzurri have contained a maximum of one goal as they struggle to hit top form, and Sunday’s meeting with Lecce may also be tight.

Inter have won 10 of their 12 home league games this season, only conceding six times at San Siro, but their attacking performances have been less than fluid recently. Indeed, only against out-of-form Udinese and relegation-threatened Cremonese have they hit multiple goals in their last eight matches, with fit-again striker Romelu Lukaku struggling to make an impact – he has just two goals in 588 minutes of league action this campaign.

Lecce lost 2-1 at home to Inter on the opening day, and while Marco Baroni’s men are big outsiders for Sunday’s return fixture, they will harbour hopes of keeping it competitive. Indeed, Lecce have seen a maximum of three goals scored in each of their last six games, not allowing any of their last four opponents to hit multiple goals. However, no Serie A team has created fewer expected goals (20.6 xG) or attempts fewer shots on target per game (2.71), so they won’t make waves in attack.

Nerazzurri set for low-scoring win

With Lecce adept at keeping things tight and favourites Inter not hitting top form in forward areas recently, backing a home win featuring under 3.5 match goals seems a good way of keeping the Nerazzurri onside while securing value.

Meanwhile, a 2-0 home win represents a decent correct score prediction – Inter have kept three consecutive clean sheets at San Siro.

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