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Inter Milan vs Spezia Predictions

  • 17:30
  • Expired
  • San Siro
Inter Milan
Spezia

Inter Milan/Inter Milan

4/6odds when tipped
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£15.30
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Inter Milan 3-0

7/1odds when tipped
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£75.00
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Tip Reasoning

  • Three of Inter Milan’s four home league wins this term came at both HT/FT.
  • No side scored more home league goals than Inter Milan’s 18 ahead of this round.
  • Five of Spezia’s seven away league games resulted in HT/FT defeats.
  • Three of Spezia’s last four away games ended with defeats by a 3+ goal margin.

Free-scoring Inter to sweep Spezia aside

Inter Milan are in fine fettle at the moment as they currently protect a nine-game unbeaten run across all competitions (W7, D2). That run includes four victories without reply while they scored at least twice in all seven.

The hosts can’t afford to take their foot off the gas here as they are clambering to maintain pace with the top sides as they look to defend their 2020/21 title. Considering all of that, what better side is there to face than a 17th-placed Spezia at home?

Only Inter Milan and Napoli maintain an unbeaten home league record ahead of this round and it would be a humongous shock if that were to break here. There is little to no value in the straight win though, so backing a HT/FT Inter win seems like a likely outcome at a considerably better price.

 Sorry Spezia to endure more away day misery

Spezia managed to grab a goal and even a draw in the home leg against Inter last season, though they look to be threatened even more so by relegation in what is their second season in this top-flight stint.

One major contributing factor to Spezia’s awful season is their away form – the visitors picked up just 36% of their points away and that total of four is more than only Cagliari’s two.

Compounding matters for Spezia is the fact that they trailed at the interval in five of their seven league trips so far and never recovering a point when doing so.

Combine the latter with the fact that no side conceded more goals than Spezia’s 3.3 per-match on average in away league games this term, then I believe a straightforward 3-0 home victory could be the smart play in this game.


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