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FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

  • 19:30
  • Expired
  • Opel Arena
FSV Mainz 05
Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen to Win

13/10odds when tipped
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Bayer Leverkusen 1-0

10/1odds when tipped
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Tip Reasoning

  • Mainz are winless across the last eight H2H meetings (D1, L7).
  • Mainz won just three of their 11 Bundesliga games as pre-match outsiders this season.
  • Leverkusen have scored 2+ goals in nine of their last ten domestic matches.

All good things must come to an end

Mainz are riding the crest of a wave at the minute as they sit in the top half of the Bundesliga after 22 rounds for the first time since 2015/16. Their strong position is largely down to some imperious home league form (W6, D3, L1), though they welcome the most in-form Bundesliga side this time around, so a serious test of their mettle is coming.

No Bundesliga side have a longer active home league winning streak than Mainz’s four, one more would set a new record and they haven’t actually conceded a goal here in 403 minutes of home league play. However despite that, Mainz have not kept a clean sheet in any of their last eight home clashes with Leverkusen, six of which ended in defeat.

Five-star Leverkusen to keep on rolling

Fresh from scoring five goals in their last away trip in Dortmund, Leverkusen look to extend the Bundesliga’s longest currently active overall winning streak (W4) at one of the toughest grounds to travel to this season, the Mewa Arena.

Much like their hosts at home, Leverkusen have been unbelievable on their travels. Only Bayern Munich have picked up more than Leverkusen’s 21 points in away league games (W6, D3, L2).

Meanwhile, Leverkusen have only lost in two of their 16 overall league games entered as favourites this season (W10, D4, L2), inspiring confidence amongst punters. As such, I predict an away win, but perhaps by a slender 1-0 scoreline, just as Leverkusen produced in their last two clashes at this venue.


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