Nottingham Forest vs Luton Predictions

  • 19:45
  • Expired
  • The City Ground
Nottingham Forest
Luton
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Both Teams To Score

10/11odds when tipped
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Draw 1-1

11/2odds when tipped
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Tip Reasoning

  • Both teams have scored in six of nine Nottingham Forest home Championship games this season.
  • Luton have scored in seven of their nine away Championship fixtures of 2021-22.
  • Luton had a far superior xG than QPR in Friday’s 2-0 loss and get an extra day’s recovery ahead of this game.

Underlying stats suggest Luton can land a blow

In-form Nottingham Forest will bid to accelerate their push up the table on Tuesday night when they take on a dangerous Luton Town team at the City Ground.

Forest have accrued 22 points from their last 11 games and average 1.9 points per game since Steve Cooper took over with them bottom of the pile in late September. Only Fulham and Bournemouth have been better over that period, but Forest aren’t yet as good as the two automatic promotion favourites as three draws in the four games since their 4-0 home hammering by the Cottagers would suggest.

Yet they seem to have been priced up as Fulham or Bournemouth would be at home to a Luton side whose recent away displays have been better than their results appear.

Hatters having problems finishing their chances

The Hatters deserved something out of their 2-0 defeat to Queens Park Rangers on Friday, having generated an xG number approximately four and a half times that of their hosts. Luton have also won the xG battle on their travels to Bournemouth, Bristol City and Derby County and took only two points from those matches, so their problem would appear to be in finishing off chances.

It’s hard not to be impressed by the job Nathan Jones is doing in Bedfordshire and we believe they can at least score a goal against a Forest defence that has conceded 15 times in nine home games. There’s also a case to be made for Luton to avoid defeat against a side with one of the three worst home records in the division, but Forest’s overall form may soon translate into results on their own patch too.

Our correct score forecast of 1-1 reflects Luton’s 1.22 goals per away game average and Forest’s 1.1 average at home – while it also mirrors the scoreline from three of the last four Reds’ games.

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