Stevenage vs Plymouth Argyle Predictions

• Plymouth have won their last 5 matches against Stevenage.
• Plymouth have won 5 of their last 6 matches in League Two.
• Stevenage have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 matches.
• Plymouth have kept clean sheets in 2 of their last 3 away games.

Stevenage simply don’t score enough goals at home

Stevenage earned a morale-boosting 4-0 victory away at Cambridge last weekend but will be expecting a much tougher ninety minutes when they play host to a Plymouth side that beat Mansfield 3-1 at home in their last game. The visitors have a good record against their hosts, winning each of the pairs’ last five encounters, and head into Saturday’s clash as the clear form favourites with five wins from a possible six.

The hosts have failed to score in four of their last six matches in all competitions while Plymouth have scored in all of their last six matches, keeping clean sheets in two of their last three away games. Stevenage have already lost six times at home this season while Plymouth have won six times on the road, so you can see why we have backed an away win this weekend.

Stevenage average just 0.86 points per home game which is well below the league average of 1.49 points and Plymouth average 1.54 points per away game which is above the league average of 1.20 points. Stevenage have struggled for goals at home, averaging 0.64 per match, while Plymouth have netted an average of 1.23 goals per away game.

Plymouth are in great form and look full of confidence

The hosts have a decent defensive record at home though with their total goals average per home at just 1.79, which is why we have backed a narrow 1-0 win for Plymouth on Saturday. Only 29% of Stevenage’s home games have produced over 2.5 goals and the same can be said for 46% of Plymouth’s away games so far this season, with both teams scoring in just 36% of the hosts’ home games and 31% of the visitors’ away games.

Plymouth have kept clean sheets in an impressive 38% of their away games this season and have won-to-nil on each of those occasions, while Stevenage have failed to score in a disappointing 57% of their home games which only adds further weight to our prediction for a Plymouth win and clean sheet on Saturday. A majority of Stevenage’s defeats this season (8) have had a 1-goal margin, while 6 of Plymouth’s win so far have been via a 1-goal margin.

We’re confident that Plymouth will win on Saturday and we have predicted a final scoreline of 1-0. The visitors arrive in great form and with an excellent recent record against the hosts. Stevenage have too often failed to score in front of their own fans and against a side with a good defensive record like Plymouth, we can see the home side struggling to create chances once again this weekend.