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8th Feb 2020
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Swansea City vs Derby Predictions

England Championship | Liberty Stadium | 8th February
Swansea City badge
Swansea City
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • D
KO 15:00
Derby badge
Derby
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W

Swansea City vs Derby predictions for Saturday’s match in the Championship. Swansea could move into the top 7 with a win at home against a Derby side that sit in mid-table following an inconsistent campaign. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Predictions & Tips

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Under 2.5 Match Goals @ 10/11

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Swansea City 1-0 @ 7/1

Reason For Swansea City vs Derby Predictions

  • Under 2.5 goals have been produced in 5 of the last 7 meetings between these two clubs.
  • Under 2.5 goals have been produced in 4 of Swansea’s last 6 matches.
  • Under 2.5 goals have been produced in 3 of Derby’s last 6 matches.
  • Swansea have won 7 times at home while Derby have lost 8 times on the road.

The hosts have secured seven wins at home

Swansea played out a 1-1 draw away at Preston last weekend while Derby hammered Stoke 4-0 at home, but Saturday’s visitors have an FA Cup tie in midweek against Northampton to negotiate before they can turn their full attention to this weekends’ clash. 6pts separate the pair heading into Saturday’s match, with Swansea so far outperforming their guests, but it’s Derby that edge the form guide with three wins, two draws, and one defeat from their last six matches in all competitions.

However, Swansea have won seven of their fifteen home games in the Championship while Derby have only managed to secure one win on the road so far, losing eight of their fourteen away games, so you can see why we have backed a Swansea victory this weekend. Fice of the last seven meetings between the two clubs have produced under 2.5 goals, as have four of Swansea’s and three of Derby’s last six outings, so you can see why we are expecting a tight and tense ninety minutes with fewer than 3-goals scored this Saturday.

Swansea average 1.60 points per home game, which meets the league average, while Derby average just 0.57 points per away game, which is well below the league average of 1.13 points. The hosts have a 47% win ration in their own backyard while Derby have lost 57% of their away games so far this season.

The visitors have been dire on the road with eight defeats to their name

Only 47% of both Swansea’s and Derby’s matches in the Championship this season have produced over 2.5 goals, suggesting that we are more likely to see under 2.5 goals scored this weekend. The hosts have scored 19 goals at home while the visitors have only netted 12 times on the road, and this is where we feel Saturday’s match will be won and lost.

Swansea have kept clean sheets in 27% of their home games and Derby are yet to keep a single clean sheet on the road and the visitors have also failed to score in exactly half of their away games this season, which is why we have backed a final scoreline of 1-0 in favour of the hosts.

Exactly 1-goal has been score din 27% of Swansea’s home games and the hosts have claimed a majority of their wins this season (9) via a 1-goal margin, while Derby have lost five times by a 1-goal margin. We’re confident that under 2.5 goals will be scored in Saturday’s clash and we have predicted a final scoreline of 1-0 in favour of the home side. Swansea have been decent at home this season while Derby have performed poorly on the road and have an FA Cup tie to play in midweek, which is why we believe Swansea are best placed to claim all three points this weekend.

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