Augsburg vs Union Berlin Predictions

• Union Berlin have won the xG battle in six consecutive matches
• The hosts have lost 10 of their 16 Bundesliga games this season
• Both teams have scored in five of Union’s last six matches
• The visitors have kept only two away clean sheets this season

Visitors are good value for a high-scoring victory

Union Berlin were frustrated by bottom side Mainz at the weekend, as they could only draw 2-2 in a game which they dominated. Union won the xG battle 3.4 to 1.0, which followed up some impressive wins to close 2025.

Union saw off RB Leipzig and Cologne in their final two games last year. The hosts have now won the xG battle in six straight games, including a 3-2 defeat to Bayern Munich, in which they had 18 shots to the Bavarians’ six.

While Union’s results don’t always match up to their good performances, there’s certainly value in getting behind them in a visit to a struggling Augsburg side. The hosts have lost 10 of 16 Bundesliga matches this term, including Sunday’s 4-0 hammering at Gladbach.

The hosts have lost half of their eight home games, so Union are good value for victory at a shade below 2/1. However, both teams have scored in five of the visitors’ last six games, and they’ve kept only two away clean sheets this season.

Augsburg have generated 9.3 xG across their eight home games, but they’ve faced 14.5 at the other end. They are capable of getting on the scoresheet, so Union are great value to win and concede.