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Bristol City vs Derby Predictions

Published on 12:37pm GMT 29 January 2026

  • 20:00
  • Expired
  • Ashton Gate
Bristol City
    Derby
      • Sky Sports Main Event

      Under 2.5 Match Goals

      Reason for tip

      Derby have the joint-third best defensive record away from home in the Championship and face a Bristol City side that have seen under 2.5 goals land in their last three games. The last three meetings between these sides at Ashton Gate have featured a goal apiece, and another low-scoring affair is expected.

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      Draw 1-1

      Reason for tip

      Bristol City have won the last three home meetings with Derby by a 1-0 scoreline, but the reverse fixture in August ended 1-1 and the Rams have only lost two of their last nine away games. With both teams proving difficult to beat, a low-scoring draw could be on the cards.

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      Bristol City vs Derby Predictions

      • Under 2.5 goals has landed in the last three meetings between these sides at Ashton Gate.
      • Derby have the joint-third best defensive record away from home in the Championship.

      Spoils to be shared at Ashton Gate

      Bristol City and Derby both head into Friday’s tie knowing that a win would send them into the Championship top six ahead of the weekend slate of second-tier fixtures, but they may have to settle for a point apiece at Ashton Gate.

      The Rams have recovered from a difficult start to the season and head to Bristol with the third-best away record in the division, and their stellar defensive record on the road could play a part in a low-scoring affair.

      Bristol City’s last three matches have all gone under 2.5 goals and the last three meetings between these sides at Ashton Gate have produced a total of three goals, so under 2.5 goals looks the play.

      The Robins have won each of these three home meetings with Derby 1-0, but the reverse fixture in August ended 1-1 and a repeat looks likely considering Derby have only lost two of their last nine away games.

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