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The AFC South has tightened up fast, with the Colts, Jaguars and Texans all within a game of each other after Jacksonville and Houston’s recent surge and Indy’s back-to-back close losses. However, the Colts should be able to turn things around here. The Jags hold plenty of momentum but have looked unconvincing at times this season, and could find things tough with the pressure on.

These AFC North rivals enter Sunday at 6-6, but Baltimore has surged with a 5-1 run while Pittsburgh has dropped 4 of 6 and continues to bleed yards on defense. Both teams stumbled last week, with the Ravens getting blown out by the Bengals and the Steelers collapsing in the 2nd half at Buffalo despite QB Aaron Rodgers’ return. Baltimore swept Pittsburgh last season, but with the Ravens just 3-6 ATS as a favorite with Lamar Jackson this season, the hosts could be pushed all the way.

Miami has surged back into playoff contention with 4 wins in its last 5 games, and the Dolphins should improve that record further when they take on the struggling Jets. New York’s 3 victories have come in shaky fashion against weak or injury-depleted opponents, and MetLife Stadium hasn’t provided any real home-field edge. With Miami’s offense rolling behind Tua Tagovailoa, De’Von Achane and Jaylen Waddle, the Dolphins should have a clear advantage on Sunday.

The Vikings are reeling after a 26-0 shutout loss in Seattle with undrafted rookie Max Brosmer throwing 4 interceptions, though JJ McCarthy is expected back under center despite struggling all year himself. Washington hasn’t been great but has at least been competitive, dropping its last 2 games in overtime, while Minnesota has been outscored 49-6 in its past couple of matchups. With the Vikings 0-4 ATS in their last 4 and unreliable at home, the Commanders look like a live dog.

The 9-3 Bears visit Lambeau to face the 8-3-1 Packers, with Chicago looking to keep hold of 1st place in the NFC North. The Bears have surged under first-year head coach Ben Johnson, winning 9 of their last 10, while these longtime rivals prepare for 2 meetings in 3 weeks with these games likely to determine who wins the division. Green Bay’s offense has rediscovered its rhythm behind Jordan Love, and with momentum following a huge win in Detroit over the Lions, the Packers should deliver a statement victory at home here.

After starting the season 0-3, Houston has surged to a 7-5 record behind a dominant defense that has powered a 4-game winning streak and kept them firmly in the hunt for the AFC South title with the Colts beginning to fade. The offense has been steady enough with Davis Mills, a returning C.J. Stroud, and emerging rookie RB Woody Marks providing just enough support for that elite unit. As for Kansas City, they look far less polished than past editions, with Mahomes under constant pressure and a slipping defense, making this December matchup far less one-sided than Andy Reid’s usual late-season dominance suggests.

The AFC South has tightened up fast, with the Colts, Jaguars and Texans all within a game of each other after Jacksonville and Houston’s recent surge and Indy’s back-to-back close losses. However, the Colts should be able to turn things around here. The Jags hold plenty of momentum but have looked unconvincing at times this season, and could find things tough with the pressure on.

These AFC North rivals enter Sunday at 6-6, but Baltimore has surged with a 5-1 run while Pittsburgh has dropped 4 of 6 and continues to bleed yards on defense. Both teams stumbled last week, with the Ravens getting blown out by the Bengals and the Steelers collapsing in the 2nd half at Buffalo despite QB Aaron Rodgers’ return. Baltimore swept Pittsburgh last season, but with the Ravens just 3-6 ATS as a favorite with Lamar Jackson this season, the hosts could be pushed all the way.

Miami has surged back into playoff contention with 4 wins in its last 5 games, and the Dolphins should improve that record further when they take on the struggling Jets. New York’s 3 victories have come in shaky fashion against weak or injury-depleted opponents, and MetLife Stadium hasn’t provided any real home-field edge. With Miami’s offense rolling behind Tua Tagovailoa, De’Von Achane and Jaylen Waddle, the Dolphins should have a clear advantage on Sunday.

The Vikings are reeling after a 26-0 shutout loss in Seattle with undrafted rookie Max Brosmer throwing 4 interceptions, though JJ McCarthy is expected back under center despite struggling all year himself. Washington hasn’t been great but has at least been competitive, dropping its last 2 games in overtime, while Minnesota has been outscored 49-6 in its past couple of matchups. With the Vikings 0-4 ATS in their last 4 and unreliable at home, the Commanders look like a live dog.

The 9-3 Bears visit Lambeau to face the 8-3-1 Packers, with Chicago looking to keep hold of 1st place in the NFC North. The Bears have surged under first-year head coach Ben Johnson, winning 9 of their last 10, while these longtime rivals prepare for 2 meetings in 3 weeks with these games likely to determine who wins the division. Green Bay’s offense has rediscovered its rhythm behind Jordan Love, and with momentum following a huge win in Detroit over the Lions, the Packers should deliver a statement victory at home here.

After starting the season 0-3, Houston has surged to a 7-5 record behind a dominant defense that has powered a 4-game winning streak and kept them firmly in the hunt for the AFC South title with the Colts beginning to fade. The offense has been steady enough with Davis Mills, a returning C.J. Stroud, and emerging rookie RB Woody Marks providing just enough support for that elite unit. As for Kansas City, they look far less polished than past editions, with Mahomes under constant pressure and a slipping defense, making this December matchup far less one-sided than Andy Reid’s usual late-season dominance suggests.

The 9-3 Bears visit Lambeau to face the 8-3-1 Packers, with Chicago looking to keep hold of 1st place in the NFC North. The Bears have surged under first-year head coach Ben Johnson, winning 9 of their last 10, while these longtime rivals prepare for 2 meetings in 3 weeks with these games likely to determine who wins the division. Green Bay’s offense has rediscovered its rhythm behind Jordan Love, and with momentum following a huge win in Detroit over the Lions, the Packers should deliver a statement victory at home here.