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Kansas City Chiefs -3.0
vs Indianapolis Colts
Reason for tip

Kansas City sits at 5-5 and is running out of margin in the AFC West race and the race to make the playoffs in general. The Chiefs host an 8-2 Indianapolis team riding a breakout season from Daniel Jones. KC has been dominant at Arrowhead with 4 straight double-digit home wins, but all 5 of their losses have come by one score, while the Colts have topped 31 points in 5 of their last 6. Indy owns 2 wins over teams with winning records, yet Kansas City has won 9 straight games following a loss by 4 points or fewer. Given their track record of picking up a win when they need it most, Patrick Mahomes and company should prove they’re not done just yet.

Minnesota Vikings +6.5
at Green Bay Packers
Reason for tip

The Vikings limp into this one at 4-6 after back-to-back home losses and shaky quarterback play, while the Packers sit at 6-3-1 after rallying past the Giants. Jordan Love briefly left that game with a shoulder issue before returning to deliver the game-winner, but Green Bay’s offense has been uneven and the Pack are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight. With Minnesota’s defense tightening up and their past success against Green Bay, the Vikings should be able to keep this one within a touchdown.

Chicago Bears -2.5
vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Reason for tip

The surging Bears have won 7 of 8 and are clicking offensively under head coach Ben Johnson, with Caleb Williams protecting the football and D’Andre Swift providing balance on the ground. Pittsburgh comes in with serious uncertainty at quarterback with Aaron Rodgers nursing a hand injury, while their defense is statistically near the bottom of the league. With Chicago’s offense humming and Williams’ mobility minimizing the Steelers’ pass rush, the Bears are well-positioned to pick up another victory.

Jacksonville Jaguars -2.5
at Arizona Cardinals
Reason for tip

The Cardinals have dropped 7 of their last 8 and look lifeless, losing their last 2 games by at least 19 points and 4 straight at home, making them a prime fade despite being slight home underdogs. Jacksonville enters in far better form, highlighted by a 35-6 rout of the Chargers and a strong ground game that should exploit Arizona’s mediocre defense. With both teams trending in opposite directions, the Jaguars look a good bet to pick up another win here.

Philadelphia Eagles -3.0
at Dallas Cowboys
Reason for tip

The Eagles have seized control of the NFC East with 4 straight wins and are eyeing back-to-back division titles for the first time since 2003-04. Dallas is clinging to faint playoff hopes but faces a brutal 3-game stretch, and despite Dak Prescott’s big Monday night showing against the Raiders, the Cowboys have struggled to build momentum off wins. With Philadelphia covering consistently as a road favorite and Dallas wobbling in underdog spots, the matchup trends point toward backing the Eagles moving to 9-2.

San Francisco 49ers -7.0
vs Carolina Panthers
Reason for tip

The Panthers earned deserved buzz after Bryce Young’s record-setting 448-yard, 3-touchdown performance powered a comeback win in Atlanta, showcasing real growth under Dave Canales. But that victory came against a Falcons team in freefall that has now lost 5 straight and likely lost QB Michael Penix Jr. for the season. With San Francisco healthy, explosive and coming off a dominant win behind Brock Purdy, the 49ers present a far tougher test and should pick up a commanding victory at home.

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